SAG Awards Movie Predictions
So the SAG Awards are tomorrow night, presumably airing on TBS, or one of those other cable channels where the sitcom show reruns they air are more interesting than their original programs (kidding, guys!). But I am excited. I love these awards, mostly because it’s just one step closer to the Oscars…the more important award. Again kidding…actually Meryl Streep winning the SAG a couple years ago remains one of my favorite award show moments ever. The world’s greatest actress still gets excited about winning awards. Go figure!
Anyway, here are my predictions for all the categories. Full list of nominations here. For my TV award predictions, click here.
MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Will win: This is really easy. There is no way in hell Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) is winning this. James Franco might be a spoiler. But, at this point, it has to go to Colin Firth for his performance in The King’s Speech. If he loses, it’ll probably be one of the biggest snubs in the history of history!
Should win: I loved Colin Firth’s performance in The King’s Speech. It reminds me of Claire Danes performance in the TV movie Temple Grandin. Colin Firth’s character obviously has a mental problem, but it seems like Firth cares more about the emotions and insecurities behind the character, instead of perfecting a stutter. However, I feel like lately I’ve been rooting for Firth only because one) he’s an older veteran actor who has never won before. And two) because he plays an undeniably difficult role. However, if I were to be true to my heart, I have to say it’s James Franco’s thoughtful performance in 127 Hours that gets me the most.
FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Will win: Annette Bening is an older, veteran actress that probably gets a lot of respect in the actor’s world. So I wouldn’t be too shocked if she won for The Kids Are All Right, especially since Meryl Streep did shockingly beat Kate Winslet a couple years ago. I think the SAGs sometimes show more respect towards older actresses. However, it would still be pretty silly not to make Natalie Portman (Black Swan) you’re first choice. She has received way too much buzz.
Should win: Portman winning would make me happy, but on my list, she’s literally in 4th place. It was really Nicole Kidman’s performance in Rabbit Hole that made me think the most.
MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Will win: Could Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech) pull an upset? Nah. Surely, most actors agree with the critics and the Hollywood Foreign Press: Christian Bale gave the strongest performance this year.
Should win: Let’s make a deal: Christian Bale can win the Oscar for his druggy, physically demanding performance in The Fighter. But how ’bout John Hawkes (Winter’s Bone) takes the final prize this time for his subtle, beautiful performance in this year’s under-the-radar gem.
FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Will win: Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) is officially in the race, but considering the SAGs track record…I think Melissa Leo will grab another award for her role in The Fighter.
Should win: After seeing The King’s Speech, I have officially fallen in love with Helena Bonham Carter. She was so calm, quiet, delicate and perfect in the movie. But, it would be so awesome if Amy Adams won, a performance I thought was stronger than Melissa Leo’s.
CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE
Will win: I had a really tough time with this one. For me, it came down between The Social Network and The Fighter. Some people people are saying The Fighter will win because it’s been dominating in the supporting categories, and because it won the Best Ensemble award at the Critics awards. But…I would fight that and say that Dreamgirls also won the SAG for best supporting actor and actress, but it did not win Best Cast a few years ago. Also, a couple years ago, Hairspray won the Critics Award for Best Ensemble but it did not win the SAG Award. Clearly, the SAGs have their own brains. Also in the last 15 years the SAGs have been in existence, most of the Best Cast winners have been bonified Best Picture front runners. It’s difficult because The Social Network didn’t really have much of a cast, but it is a huge front runner for Best Picture come Oscar time. I figure The voters are already going to award The Fighter for 2 awards…they may want to spread the love. So…that being said, if Slumdog Millionaire can win beating movies with “stronger, more traditional” ensembles like Doubt and Milk – movies with more recognizable, respected movie stars, then I think that The Social Network will win this one. (Although, I do this hesitantly, if I could choose more than one possibility, I’d put The Fighter up there.) So…The Social Network it is!
Should win: I’m crushed, however, that a true ensemble like The Kids are All Right isn’t getting more buzz. That movie would get my vote!
So, there it is. My predix and pix! This was a lot easier than the TV awards, I’ll tell you that. Check back soon for a recap after the SAG awards announce the winners. Bye for now!
