Final 2014 Emmy Predictions!


Hey guys! Hey guys! Hey guys! So, I know I’m a bit late with this post. In fact, I wanted to have this written before the Creative Arts Emmys so I could post my predictions for the Guest acting categories. But between relatives visiting and the internet shutting down for two days…I just couldn’t write this post during the time I wanted. But there are still a bunch of categories left so…let’s get on with this! Here are my final predictions for the major categories.

For more Emmy stuff (including reviews of all the nominees), click here!

Movie/Miniseries

Miniseries: Sigh…if only True Detective had submitted here, then we’d have a real race. But, right now, (unless the Academy wants to throw overdue recognition Treme‘s way), this is Fargo’s to lose.

Movie: Sherlock won four Emmys last Sunday, signifying widespread support for the program. However…I think the buzz and acclaim for The Normal Heart is too great for it to lose this one at this point. It’s in the same league as past HBO champs (Game Change, Behind the Candelabra, Grey Gardens, Recount, and Temple Grandin).

Actress: If I overthought this, I could think of an argument for each of the nominees (including the Critics Choice Award winner Jessica Lange). But, if I played it safe, then past Emmy favorite Cicely Tyson would win for the role that gave Geraldine Page her first Oscar. 

Actor: Mark Ruffalo’s performance is surely explosive and Emmy bait…but it’s also a bit polarizing. I think this is between the Fargo guys, and it looks like the more recognizable American star will take this: Billy Bob Thornton. 

Supporting Actress: Besides Frances Conroy, any of these ladies could win. I honestly don’t see American Horror Story doing all that well, so Bates and Bassett won’t win. Never underestimate Burstyn…but at the same time, she just won last year. Another win would be too much. Julia Roberts is the big star and a few months ago, she was deemed the front runner in this category. However, Allison Tolman‘s performance has received more consistent praise. She is a breakout star and if voters love Fargo like I think they do, then I think Tolman will be able to beat her more famous fellow nominees.

Supporting Actor: I could see Martin Freeman winning an Emmy just because he was nominated in two categories. However, Matt Bomer got the most praise out of anyone else in the movie. He’s The Normal Heart‘s best chance at winning an acting award IMO.

Writing and Directing: So, right now, Fargo and The Normal Heart are the two biggest contenders in this category. I think there will be a split in there categories. The first episode of Fargo will win for Writing, while Ryan Murphy will win the Emmy for directing The Normal Heart. However…the reverse could happen as well. Or maybe one program will just dominate. We will see!

Comedy

Comedy Series: Veep has slowly become a major Emmy contender, while Orange is the New Black was one of the buzziest shows of the last year. But, once again, I’m playing it safe and predicting Modern Family. Like The Daily Show or The Amazing Race, I am pretty much always going to predict Modern Family until it actually loses. This was apparently a strong season for Modern Family and if voters liked it enough last year…then this year might not be different. Besides, Orange is too dramatic and half and hour too long.

Actress: The only other actress I could see legitimately beat Julia Louis-Dreyfus is Melissa McCarthy, whose tape is an Emmy bait mixture of multi-camera broadness and emotion. Anyone else would surely be a surprise.

Actor: Playing it safe is my middle name. Jim Parsons seems to be the favorite for his 100th Emmy. However, watch out for Ricky Gervais whose tape will make voters tear up a bit. Remember when Gervais won for Extras???

Supporting Actress: I didn’t think Allison Janney would win Guest Actress. But she did…but that doesn’t change anything. If anything, it might validate this prediction. Janney is going to win two Emmys this year. But if we’re in for a surprise like we got last year then Anna Chlumsky is surely a “Merritt Wever-sized” dark horse.

Supporting Actor: It just doesn’t seem like Modern Family has the same widespread support it had a couple years ago. Jesse Tyler Ferguson has the strongest tape in this category…but I think Tony Hale will win again for his now iconic scene he shares with JLD. If Brooklyn Nine Nine had received more support, then maybe I would have more faith in Andre Braugher.

Writing: Orange is the New Black‘s pilot might seem like an easy way for the show to win. But…Louis CK has won in this category before…and I think he will win again for a much stronger episode in my opinion. “So Did the Fat Lady.”

Directing: Modern Family has actually won this category the last three years. I mean, it even beat 30 Rock‘s finale last year. However, Jodie Foster’s star power plus Orange‘s buzz plus a story line involving a transgender woman will equal “Lesbian Request Denied” winning. 

Drama

Drama Series: I’m biting the bullet and saying that Breaking Bad will have a very good Emmy night. If it could win last year, it can surely win again for its explosive final group of episodes. And yeah, True Detective received a lot of praise and buzz…but I don’t think it received any more than (or even as much as) Breaking Bad. 

Actress: I never thought I would be predicting Claire Danes (hell, I thought her getting nominated would be a small miracle)…but I have to admit, she submitted a great episode. Margulies would be my number one choice…but she was snubbed last year…and her submission this year wasn’t so different from her submission from season 3. And, yes, Robin Wright and Kerry Washington could win for their performances in hot, buzzy shows. But, since I can’t choose between either of those actresses…I think voters will face the same problem and just simply choose last year’s winner because, hey, the season sucked, but Danes still did a great job. I think this race would be a lot simpler, if the best drama actress (cough cough Maslany) had actually received a nomination. Oh well. Watch me be wrong about this one!

Actor: This was another tough one for me. The last three winners (Kyle Chandler, Damien Lewis, Jeff Daniels) have been fairly surprising, so technically any of these nominees could win. However, I’m going to listen to the buzz and say that it’s really between recent Oscar winner Matthew McConaughey and three time winner Bryan Cranston. Bryan Cranston has a better submission and, in my opinion, gives the stronger overall performance. However, voters may not be completely willing to give Cranston a fourth Emmy. McConaughey got just as much praise for his performance as Bryan Cranston did for his. I think between his praise and the exciting idea of hearing another crazy, rambling speech…I think Matthew McConaughey will win this one…unless Jeff Daniels wins again.

Supporting Actress: Maggie Smith recently won a SAG for some reason…but I don’t see her (or anyone else in the Downton Abbey cast) winning. Anna Gunn has the most explosive tape of the mix. If voters want to give Baranski an overdue Emmy for her great work this season then they can…but it looks like Gunn is going to win another deserved Emmy.

Supporting Actor: Most people seem to be predicting Aaron Paul, Peter Dinklage or even veteran Jon Voight. But, fun fact: The Good Wife has received one acting win for each of the last four years. If an actor from the show is going to win, I think previously nominated Josh Charles will finally get the award. Not only did he have a buzzy arc that ended in the unfortunate surprise death of his character, but his episode submission is probably the best episode The Good Wife has ever created. If The Good Wife had received the Drama Series nomination it was supposed to, I’d feel more confident about this nomination. Right now…this is one of my bolder picks.

Writing: “Ozymandias” not receiving a directing nomination makes me nervous…but I still think the most talked about dramatic episode of the season has the edge. However, the Breaking Bad finale would be an “easier” way for voters for award the show and the show’s creator.

Directing: House of Cards won this award last year. And Boardwalk Empire has always done well in this category. But, I think this is a race between Breaking Bad, True Detective, and Game of Thrones – three expertly directed episodes. True Detective’s episode has a really epic continuous tracking shot of a shootout, while Game of Thrones‘s episode is simply one big, explosive battle. However, I think, for a finale, Vince Gilligan did a great job pretty much giving everything the audience asked for. Breaking Bad has never won in this category. “Felina” should be that episode.

OK…those are pretty much the categories I care about the most. Thanks for reading. Check back Monday night or Tuesday morning for my recap/review of the ceremony and the winners. 

Visit my Emmy Center!

 

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Best Comedy and Drama Series


breaking bad

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Best Drama Series.

  1. Breaking Bad
  2. Game of Thrones
  3. True Detective
  4. Mad Men
  5. House of Cards
  6. Downton Abbey

It would be pretty strange if it turns out that Breaking Bad‘s only Drama Series Emmy was for its weakest “season” (the first half of the last season, technically). All that aside, Breaking Bad gave us this year’s most thrilling stretch of episodes. “Ozymandias” was hailed as one of the greatest episodes of dramatic television by critics…and I can’t help but agree. But, outside that episode, this season has  been filled with so many intense moments  – from Walt and Skyler conspiring against Hank and Marie to Hank and Jesse conspiring against Walt to Walt’s depressing stay at that isolated cabin to anything and everything in the finale. Breaking Bad is leaving on a satisfying high note and one Drama Series win doesn’t seem like enough.

I actually watch True Detective regularly, while there are a good chunk of Game of Thrones episodes I have not watched. True Detective is a gritty, well acted, well directed  series. But I would actually rather see a fantasy/genre show finally win this one than a limited series that should honestly be in the miniseries categories. But both shows have their thrilling moments and, as of now, are cultural phenomenons. Mad Men has a much better season this year than last…but after 4 previous wins, they don’t really need to win another Drama Series Emmy for a season that’s still not among their best. Downton Abbey shouldn’t have even gotten a nomination this year so clearly it would be a minor travesty if the show ends up winning.

And finally…

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Best Comedy Series.

  1. Veep
  2. Orange is the New Black
  3. Silicon Valley
  4. Louie
  5. The Big Bang Theory
  6. Modern Family

I think, ultimately, I’d rather see Veep win than the wonderful Orange is the New Black, because Veep is a true comedy, while Orange is more of a “quirky” drama. Veep had a very tight, thoroughly consistent season of purely comedic television, while Orange, while mostly great, may have had one or two wonky moments this season (like most of the non-prison scenes involving Larry). After three seasons, Veep is overdue. But a win for the culturally diverse, inventive, brave prison series would be fine by me.

I think my eye would twitch a little if Silicon Valley somehow won this award before Veep (I’m already a little baffled that the show was able to receive writing and directing nominations for its first season while it took Veep three years to receive one writing nomination), but it had a great season and it would be a pleasantly surprising win nonetheless. In short, any of the top four winning would be much better than the bottom two. And, yes, I think Modern Family is a stronger show than The Big Bang Theory…but after four consecutive wins, I’ve resented the show a bit for winning so many times. Modern Family is a good show…but it’s not “5 times good.”

Final predictions coming soon! Click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Lead Actor in a Drama Series


bryan cranston ozymandias

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Lead Actress in a Drama Series.

  1. Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad (“Ozymandias”)
  2. Kevin Spacey – House of Cards (“Chapter 26″)
  3. Woody Harrelson – True Detective (“The Locked Room”)
  4. Matthew McConnaughey – True Detective (“Form and Void”)
  5. Jon Hamm – Mad Men (“The Strategy”)
  6. Jeff Daniels – The Newsroom (“Election Night, Part 2″)

I watch Breaking Bad, True Detective, and Mad Men regularly. The others I am familiar with.

jeff daniels newsroom

I have to say…I am glad this whole series is pretty much coming to an end. It’s been fun watching submissions and writing these reviews…but it’s also been exhausting. After I finish writing this post, it’ll just seem like a weight has been lifted. I’m about to begin my final year of my Master’s program so I really should start focusing on preparing for that more. But, anyway, let’s get on with the ranking.

I think Jon Hamm has the weakest tape. He submitted the same episode Christina Hendricks did. And, similar to Hendricks, he’s overshadowed by some of the other actors in the episode. He has that nice scene with Elizabeth Moss towards the end where their characters dance to “My Way,” but I feel like Moss had the more emotional “awakening” in that scene than Hamm. Jeff Daniels had more impact in his episode. It’s a little surprising. I thought a Newsroom episode entitled “Election Night” would allow Jeff Daniels to give a big, rousing, angry speech about America. But, instead, his character seems more interested in the status of his job and proposing to Mac than covering the election. Anyway, I put Hamm above Daniels because…I would still rather see Hamm win an “overdue” Emmy than Daniels, who won last year. In any case, hopefully, Matthew Weiner will write something really baity for Hamm for the last seven episodes of the series.

true detective

Harrelson and McConnaughey are practically tied because they both work so well together. Neither actor tries to outact the other. And they both (obviously) play big roles in each other’s episodes. I literally base this on rank on their individual performances in their own submitted episodes. And while McConnaughey has a really powerful final scene in his episode where he discusses his late daughter and the stars, Harrelson has some great scenes with his family, particularly a long bedroom scene with Michelle Monaghan. I honestly think they both gave better performances in the episodes nominated for writing and directing. But, this is still the best duo on television. Right now, it seems like McConnaughey is the frontrunner since he won both Critics awards and just won an Oscar…and that wouldn’t be bad at all.

I can’t believe I’m putting Kevin Spacey at #2 but…there’s something about his subtle, slow burning conniving performance that just intrigues me. I rarely know what Frank Underwood’s thinking…and I don’t think that’s because Kevin Spacey doesn’t know. I just think Kevin Spacey does a great job of giving a portrayal that allows us as an audience to look at his character the same way characters on the show look at him – perplexed and cautioned. Anyway, he submitted the season finale where Frank finally becomes President after the previous one resigns. That last shot as he gazes at the camera is chilling.

But…Bryan Cranston is clearly my number one choice. And, yeah, if Bryan Cranston had submitted “Felina”…or pretty much any other episode this season, he would still be number 1. But “Ozymandias” is the best choice because that final third act with Anna Gunn and RJ Mitte are excellent. That final phone call when Walt pretty much attempts to clear Skyler of any involvement is powerful; and Cranston plays Walt with one part villain, two parts sympathy. This is a man that has gained and lost (mostly lost) so much. Cranston just won a Tony and already has four Emmys (one for producing) on his shelf. The voters may want to spread the wealth and give the Emmy to someone different. This is an overall strong category (esp. without Hugh Bonneville cough cough) but Cranston would be at the top of my list no problem.

So, here are the articles I’m going to write…

  1. Reviewing Best Comedy and Drama
  2. Final predictions
  3. Review of the ceremony and the winners

So make sure you stick around for more Emmy articles. But, yeah, I won’t be reviewing some of the other Creative Arts categories this year. However, click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Lead Actress in a Drama Series


robin wright kevin spacey

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Lead Actress in a Drama Series.

  1. Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife (“The Last Call”)
  2. Lizzy Caplan – Masters of Sex (“Pilot”)
  3. Claire Danes – Homeland (“The Star”)
  4. Robin Wright – House of Cards (“Chapter 26″)
  5. Kerry Washington – Scandal (“The Fluffer”)
  6. Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey (“Episode 1″) Episode 1 and 2 in the UK.

I watch The Good Wife, Homeland, Scandal, and Downton Abbey regularly. I am familiar with the others.

julianna margulies the good wife

I know I write this in practically every post, but it was hard ranking these nominees. It would have been easier if Tatiana Maslany had been nominated. She would have been my clear number 1. It’s still so dumb that she was snubbed for the second year in a row. Goodness, voters.

But, anyway, because Maslany was egregiously snubbed, I have no choice but to root for Julianna Margulies for The Good Wife. As we all know, this was a very strong year for The Good Wife. And even though it still sort of sucks that the show was snubbed for Drama Series, I’m glad that Margulies is back in the race. She already has an Emmy for her performance in “In Sickness” (the episode where she “officially” separates from Peter), but she gives just as good a performance in “The Last Call” where she deals with the death of Will Gardner. Maybe it’s mostly because the episode is so well written. Maybe it’s because the death of Will made me sad. But there’s something about Margulies’ subtle, heartbreaking performance that gets me, especially those moments when she is trying to imagine why Will would want to leave her a voicemail right before he dies. However, the scene with the daughter is also a highlight. Anyway, Margulies would get my vote.

claire danes homeland

Lizzy Caplan’s nomination was a big surprise. Her decision to submit the pilot also surprised me because that was one of the few episodes of Masters of Sex I had actually watched and I didn’t remember how Caplan’s performance stood out. I must have been in a funk while first watching that episode because I finally understand it after watching the pilot a second time. Caplan’s scenes with Nicholas D’Agosto are intense and superb and really help Caplan to stand out. However, even her quieter moments, like her character’s shocked reaction to Bill Masters suggestion that they have sex with each other, makes me glad the voters didn’t forget her when she had virtually no buzz. Claire Danes usually submits well, and “The Star” was her best choice. I didn’t hate Homeland this season. If I did, I wouldn’t bother watching season 4, especially since there’s going to be a new story line. “The Star” was one of the highlights to season three. Even though some of the stuff coming before it was a little boring and long, the season three finale delivered a sad, emotional and satisfying conclusion. I got so emotional watching the episode that I was actually hoping Brody wouldn’t die. In fact, I’m still hoping Brody isn’t dead. But, anyway, about Danes’ performance, she’s always great and certainly gives the type of performance that could get her a third Emmy.

If Kerry Washington had submitted “Mrs. Smith Goes to Washington” or even “No Sun on the Horizon” (mostly because of this scene) then she would be slightly above Robin Wright. But, she still submitted a great episode. My favorite thing about the episode is Abby attempting to act like Olivia, which sort of makes me appreciate what Washington does with Olivia. And of course, like every other episode, she has a powerful, emotional speech that she gives to the president about the status of their relationship. When it was revealed that Robin Wright had decided to submit Chapter 26, posters on Gold Derby freaked out and criticized her for not submitting Chapter 17. The cries got so big that I took it upon myself to watch both Chapter 17 and 26 so I could get a nice spectrum of what Wright is doing on the show. In Chapter 17, her character gives an interview about a previous rape. The whole interview is very popular and one of the few times I’ve been completely engaged by what’s going on in the show. However, Chapter 26 isn’t a bad submission because she has that emotional scene in the staircase where her character comes to terms with all the awful stuff she’s done. Whatever episode she decided to submit, she would still be 4th/5th in m ranking, but I definitely appreciate her subtle, intentionally stilted performance this year more than I did last year. And, if voters don’t want to give Danes a third Emmy or Margulies a second Emmy (for The Good Wife), then she is probably a front runner for the Emmy (not making official predictions yet though!)

And, last, there’s Michelle Dockery who submitted the best episode she could because everything else she was given after the first episode was a blurry bore. But, yes, she has a few wonderful scenes as her character grieves over Matthew, particularly with Maggie Smith and Jim Carter. I considered putting Dockery higher because I’ve always really liked her performance on the show, but she’s not the center in her show the same way the other five nominees are in theirs. Lack of screen time is the reason she is sixth.

But Tatiana Maslany shall receive my imaginary Emmy for greatest actress ever (and a special Renegadepress Lifetime Achievement Award.)

Thanks for reading! More coming soon. Click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Lead Actor in a Comedy Series


matt leblanc episodes

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Lead Actor in a Comedy Series.

  1. Matt LeBlanc – Episodes (“Episode 6″)
  2. Louis CK – Louie (“Model”)
  3. Ricky Gervais – Derek (“Episode 6″) from Season 2
  4. Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory (“The Relationship Diremption”)
  5. William H. Macy – Shameless (“Lazarus”)
  6. Don Cheadle – House of Lies (“Wreckage”)

I watch Episodes, Louie, and Shameless regularly. The others I am familiar with.

ricky gervais derek

Sometimes, reviewing episode submissions allows me to discover shows that end up becoming some of my favorites. Episodes and Shameless were two shows that grew to love after they were nominated for Emmys for their first seasons. Derek has joined their ranks. When Gervais was first nominated, I was skeptical. It was a show that had no buzz. The reviews were mixed. Some people even thought the show was “offensive.” I decided, since Gervais submitted the last episode of the series (so far) that I’d watch at least 2 or 3 episodes before then, just so I could get a feel for the show. Despite that, I was still ready to hate the show. Well…that did not happen at all. I haven’t had the chance to finish watching all the episodes (I’ve only watched 101, 102, 106, and 201), but from what I’ve seen, this is a beautiful, lovely, warmly humorous show. Gervais plays a somewhat shy and awkward (possibly autistic) 50 year nursing home worker. He is sort of a…”Forest Gump-type.” He sees the good in everyone and every situation (mostly). It’s not a show for everyone. The show can be very sentimental and even maudlin through some lenses. But I like how a 2014 comedy isn’t afraid to be emotional and dramatic when appropriate.

The show is very good, but Gervais shines in this relatively low key performance. His episode submission is perfect. It has a dose of emotion and a dose of humor. It centers around his character going on his first date. Later in the episode, he deals with his father’s failing health. The episode even has a “Run! Forest! Run!” moment towards the end. It’s a great performance that surprised me in so many ways. I still would rather see perennial losers LeBlanc or Louis CK win this time, but Gervais certainly deserved this nomination.

When the producers of Shameless took the opportunity to switch to comedy, they were probably hoping to get more support. Did they? Yes and no. Although Joan Cusack continued to get her usual nomination, the only other nomination came from William H. Macy. Shameless is one of my favorite shows. I wish that it would get more recognition, drama or comedy (even though it really is a drama). It’s a little upsetting that Macy is the only “regular cast member” to get a nomination since I wouldn’t say he’s the best thing about the show (that would go to Emmy Rossum followed by Noel Fisher followed by all the other Gallagher children). But this was a pretty emotional season for Frank (Macy) as he’s literally on the edge of death for the latter half of the season. The last scene where he’s on the frozen lake yelling “I’m Still Here” is emotional (and infuriating for the viewers who just wanted to see him die). Jim Parsons submitted a funny episode where he tries to “break up” with string theory. The scene where he’s in bed with a Geology book (Geology, according to him, is the Kardashians of science) made me crack up pretty hard. Don Cheadle, once again, didn’t impress me in his tape. It seems a little lazy to nominate him when it seems like the supporting cast is more colorful and funnier.

louis ck model

But, again, Louis CK and Matt LeBlanc are at the top of my list. Last year, I was disappointed in their episode submissions. This year, they did a much better job. CK submitted probably the single funniest episode of the season. It’s about his misadventures with dating a model. The whole experiences ends in disaster. But the real funny bit in the episode is Louis CK performing awkward stand up in front of a rich country club crowd. But, I think I’d rather see Matt LeBlanc win for Episodes. His episode is mostly about him cheating on Jamie with Morning’s sister daughter. There are a few funny bits sprinkled throughout the episode, like his rant over British actors taking American roles with their perfect American accents. It’s funny (and mostly true TBH). Yes, CK and LeBlanc pretty much play themselves, but they’re still acting, they still do a great job, and they are both overdue for an Emmy. Either potential win would make me the happiest.

Thanks for reading! More coming soon. Click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Lead Actress in a Comedy Series


orange is the new black

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Lead Actress in a Comedy Series.

  1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep (“Crate”)
  2. Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation (“Recall Vote”)
  3. Taylor Schilling – Orange is the New Black (“The Chickening”)
  4. Lena Dunham – Girls (“Beach House”)
  5. Melissa McCarthy – Mike and Molly (“Mind Over Molly”)
  6. Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie (“Super Greens”)

I watch Veep, Orange, and Girls regular. I am very familiar with the other shows.

amy poehler

Lead Actress has always been a very strong category, especially compared to the Lead Actor category. Even without Tina Fey’s usual presence, I still enjoyed watching and rewatching these submissions. Amy Poehler usually has a dynamite submission episode that makes it easy for me to put her in number 1. However, this year, her episode IS slightly underwhelming. It’s the episode where Leslie Knope loses the recall vote and acts out as a response. I think Poehler decided to submit a funny standalone episode as opposed to the more emotional two-parters she usually submits because “dramatic episodes” haven’t been doing well in the comedy categories lately.. She has a nice moment in the end with Rashida Jones as Ann tries to help Leslie out of her funk, but Poehler just doesn’t have much of a presence. But she’s been snubbed so many times in the past that…I’d still be ecstatic if she won.

When news first got out that Schilling was submitting “The Chickening,” I was surprised because I expected her to submit the first episode where she has the most screen time and is mostly in the center. However, she, instead, submitted an episode where she doesn’t even have any flashback scenes. But after rewatching the episode, I can understand why she made this decision. It’s a genuinely funny story line involving her quest to find a chicken. This is probably one of the more LOL moments of a series I’d still qualify as a drama. Lena Dunham’s submission was also surprising for me (personally, I was hoping she’d submit “Dead Inside”) because it’s such an ensemble episode. However, Dunham is really funny and mostly likable in the episode, even if I felt like this was more of a showcase for Allison Williams. Also, this is one of the best episodes of the series so…maybe Dunham just wanted to submit an episode that showcased the snubbed show well.

mike and molly

I still don’t think Mike and Molly is a particularly good or fresh show, but Melissa McCarthy shines and she submitted probably her strongest episode – where her character goes to therapy and discusses the chaos in her life and her late father. It’s the emotional moments in this episode that help her standout in a pretty stacked category. And, even though she is usually always sixth in my preferences, I always look forward to Falco’s submission. In this episode, her character finds out that her ex-husband is getting remarried. It’s a solid, straightforward performance and she works with a few conflicting emotions, but it doesn’t have the humor or even the drama that the other performances have.

So (because Poehler submitted an underwhelming episode), my number one choice has to finally be Julia Louis-Dreyfus. Louis-Dreyfus doesn’t really need a third consecutive Emmy…but she is just too good on her own show. I mean, she is very lucky that she is leadon a show where literally every episode could be a potential winning submission. Although I preferred “Alicia” and “Debate,” she still chose a great episode where her character finds out she’s going to be the President. The famous bathroom scene she shares with Tony Hale is marvelous, but some of the other scenes (like her interview with the reporter) are also grade-A excellent. I know this is blasphemous…but, in terms of TV situational comedy, JLD is up there with Lucille Ball, Mary Tyler Moore and Betty White. She is a modern legend. And it’s not rubber stamping if she wins a third Emmy, because she genuinely deserves it.

But…yeah, Amy Poehler HAS to win at some point, right?

Thanks for reading! More coming soon. Click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.

 

2014 Emmy Nominations Review – Supporting Actor in a Drama Series


peter dinklage

For the next few weeks, I will be going through each of the major categories and reviewing the nominees and giving my opinion as to who should win. In terms of the Drama and Comedy categories, I’ll mostly judge based on the actors’ episode submissions. However, I’m only human. And if there’s an actor who submitted terribly, I may give him or her the edge because I am familiar with his or her performance on the show otherwise. It depends! But, yes, I will be watching all the episode submissions and reviewing them as they become available. I will choose which nominee I think is the most deserving of the prize. These are not official predictions. The articles where I predict objectively will be posted closer to the ceremony. OK? Is everything clear. Cool. Then let’s begin/continue…

Visit my Emmy Center.

From most deserving to least, here are the nominees for this year’s Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.

  1. Josh Charles – The Good Wife (“Hitting the Fan”)
  2. Peter Dinklage – Game of Thrones (“The Laws of Gods and Men”)
  3. Jon Voight – Ray Donovan (“Fite Nite”)
  4. Aaron Paul – Breaking Bad (“Confessions”)
  5. Jim Carter – Downton Abbey (“Episode 1″) Episode 1 and 2 in the UK.
  6. Mandy Patinkin – Homeland (“Gerontion”)

I watch all the shows regularly. Besides the pilot,”Fite Nite” is the only episode of Ray Donovan I have watched.

jon voight

I’m not going to pretend like I fully understood what was going on in Voight’s submission episode. His character (Mickey) and his lady friend are kidnapped and about to be killed but Mickey is somehow able to talk himself out of it. In the end of the episode, he runs to the boxing match to support his son “Black Irish” like a baller. But I was pleasantly surprised by Voight’s performance. Voight has a nice mix of horror and calmness during the bulk of his scenes. I was ready to put him 5th or 6th because his nomination wasn’t exactly embraced by most people, but I would not mind if Voight won this one.

If it was up to me, Aaron Paul would have at least three Emmys, maybe even four. Paul is crazy in this role and I am so looking forward to what direction his career will go in. However…I don’t really think Paul needs to win for his last year, even with this explosive submission. I just feel like…in this episode (and really the whole second half of the season), Paul had been hitting all the same intense notes that he hit the previous seasons. Jesse gets angry. He points a gun at someone. He cries over a sick and/or dead child. He growls the word “ricin.” This isn’t Paul’s fault. He plays it all perfectly well. And I’m not sure the writers could have done much else with Jesse’s character during the last season. It’s just something in my gut that doesn’t make me too excited over Paul’s almost inevitable third Emmy. Maybe I’m instinctively rooting for the “underdog.” But, as Aaron Paul’s biggest fan, I’m putting him fourth.

jim carter

I wouldn’t have nominated Carter or Patinkin this year, but both chose great episodes to submit. Jim Carter is always a good submitter, and this year he submitted an episode where Mr. Carson helps Mary move on from Matthew and reunites with an old friend. He has a couple really great, emotional scenes. And, over course, Carter is a master at going “full Butler mode.” Meanwhile, Patinkin benefits from having a lot of screen time in his episode. It’s the episode where he attempts to send Javadi back to Iran. But, in my opinion, this whole “Javadi arc” ranged from frustratingly confusing to boring. But, hey, Patinkin tries.

I remember the first year Dinklage was nominated, I ranked him last. I knew he would win…but I ranked him last in my personal preferences. I’ve always been a big fan of Dinklage (yes, I knew who Dinklage was before Game of Thrones.) and I was happy that he was receiving recognition, but I found his performance a tad bit insincere. I truly believe Dinklage has gotten better since then and has genuinely become one of the best television actors right now. He is excellent on Game of Thrones, and I got chills watching his last angry, dramatic scene in his episode submission. It’s the best work Dinklage has ever done on the show. But…Josh Charles is the supporting actor I am rooting for from my bedroom over 2000 miles from Hollywood. “Hitting the Fan” is such an all around exceptional episode of television that I almost forgot that that I had to focus on Charles’s acting. But that’s not to say that Charles doesn’t have a presence because he does. This episode is Josh Charles’s more than any of the other actors, even if he plays the most ruthless and unsympathetic character in the episode. When I first watched this episode a few months earlier, the second after Will Gardner confronts Alicia and pushes her stuff off the desk, I knew that Charles would become an Emmy contender…and that this should be his episode.

That being said – “The Decision Tree” (the show’s 100th episode) would have also been a great submission for Charles.

Thanks for reading! More coming soon. Click HERE for more Emmy predictions and analysis.